Rodgers is on the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook’s odds board for 22.5 completions. Rodgers is completing 66 percent of his attempts this season, so it wouldn’t take too many drop backs before he hit 23 completions. However, against a defense that has struggled against the run, we don’t think Rodgers needs to throw it too much on Monday night, keeping him UNDER 22.5 completions.
The Falcons have allowed backs to average 103.7 yards per game and 4.1 yards per carry this season, and the Packers should be able to exploit those weaknesses with a running game that has shown improvement in recent weeks. This looks like a matchup that will allow the Packers to temporarily take some of the load off Rodgers’ shoulders.
Sporting News’ Fantasy Source staff has Rodgers ranked as its top quarterback for Week 14, but that doesn’t mean he’ll need 23 completions to warrant the lofty standing.
For additional analysis and The Linemakers’ lean, check out Larry Hartstein’s Falcons-Packers betting preview.
FALCONS-PACKERS PROPS
FIRST SCORE OF THE GAME WILL BE: TOUCHDOWN -210 ANY OTHER SCORE +180
TOTAL GROSS PASSING YARDS BY: MATT RYAN (ATL) OVER 283.5 -110 UNDER 283.5 -110
TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: MATT RYAN (ATL) OVER 1.5 -130 UNDER 1.5 +110
TOTAL COMPLETIONS BY: AARON RODGERS (GB) OVER 22.5 -110 UNDER 22.5 -110
TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: AARON RODGERS (GB) OVER 2.5 -155 UNDER 2.5 +135TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: JORDY NELSON (GB) OVER 95.5 -110 UNDER 95.5 -110WILL RANDALL COBB (GB) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN? YES -140 NO +120
TOTAL QB SACKS BY: BOTH TEAMS OVER 4.0 -145 UNDER 4.0 +125
TOTAL POINTS BY: FALCONS OVER 21.5 -110 UNDER 21.5 -110
TOTAL POINTS BY: PACKERS OVER 34.0 -110 UNDER 34.0 -110
PLAYERS MUST PLAY FOR ACTION, NO PARLAYS
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